Fagseminar Skade
Fagkomité Skade i Den Norske Aktuarforening (DNA) inviterer til seminar.
Årets seminar favner et vidt spekter av temaer, med fem inviterte foredragsholdere.
Programmet starter med at Stephan Marais, Head of Research and Development for
Dynamo Analytics, forteller om bruken av maskinlæring til skadereservering. Best å
være våken!
Sommeren 2026 er det 200 år siden Niels Henrik Abel reiste til Paris – matematikkens
metropol den gangen – for å legge frem sin store avhandling om femtegradsligninger.
Nils Voje Johansen, universitetslektor ved Universitet i Oslo, vil fortelle om Abels liv
og virke, inkludert litt nytt stoff som man ikke finner i noen biografier. Spennende!
Jostein Paulsen, emeritert professor fra København og Chicago, vil fortelle om
aktuarstudiet i Danmark. I motsetning til mange land, der aktuarprofesjonen er lite
kjent, tiltrekker den danske aktuarutdanningen seg mange fremragende studenter og
utruster dem med en solid faglig ryggsekk. Kanskje har vi noe å lære av danskene.
Yushu Li, førsteamanuensis ved Universitetet i Bergen, vil berette om aktuarstudiet
ved UiB, som pr. idag er det eneste norske universitet med offisiell aktuarkompetanse.
For dem av oss som har tilbakelagt mange år siden studiene, vil det være interessant å
høre om innholdet i dagens opplegg.
Programmet avsluttes med et foredrag av Norbert Haible, Head of Technical
Management & Claims for KBC Group Re, Luxembourg. Han vil fortelle om hvordan
man kan kombinere reassuransekontrakter av typen skadeeksedent (Excess of Loss) på
tvers av land, bransjer og dekningslag (layers). Meget aktuelt for naturkatastroferisiko.
Det bør være noe for enhver smak i programmet.
Velkommen!
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08:55 |
Velkommen Walter Neuhaus, leder i Fagkomité Skade |
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09:00 – 10:00 |
Chain Ladder Parameterisation with Supervised Learning
Abstract: This session explains how we can the bridge between traditional actuarial methods and machine learning modelling mindsets and workflows. Using this approach, a new technique was developed for the automated tuning of traditional reserving method parameters, such as chain link pattern selections in the Chain Ladder method. The technique involves defining an objective function which measures reserve efficiency with the addition of reserving class context specific constraints. We show how this objective function can be used to automatically tune the pattern, speeding up the pattern selection workflow, reducing reliance on subjective judgment and mitigating the likelihood of manual calculation errors.
Stephan Marais
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10:00 – 10:20 |
Pause |
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10:20 – 11:25 |
Niels Henrik Abel
Abstract: I foredraget vil vi se litt på Niels Henrik Abels vei inn i matematikken belyst ved nye funn som viser hva den unge Abel leste. Videre markerer vi at det i år er 200 år siden Abel leverte sitt hovedverk til vurdering i Vitenskapsakademiet i Paris. Arbeid ble oversett og lagt til side – og manuskriptet har gjennom årene hatt en kronglete og spennende historie, inkludert da det skulle til Norge i forbindelse med Abeljubileet i 2002. Til slutt tar vi for oss den mytiske Abel som alt mens han var i live var tiltenkt en nasjonsbyggende rolle, og vi avslutter det hele med hvordan en pris til Niels Henrik Abels minne ble opprettet i 2002 – Abelprisen.
Nils Voje Johansen |
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11:30 – 12:30 |
Lunsj |
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12:30 – 13:35 |
Aktuarstudiet i Danmark m.m.
Abstract: The actuarial programme at the Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen (KU), is currently experiencing considerable success. Admission requires excellent high school grades, reflecting the strong demand for places. While high salary prospects are undoubtedly an important factor, the programme's strong academic reputation and visibility also play a significant role. As a result, we likely graduate more actuaries each year than the rest of the Nordic countries combined. In this talk, I will present the structure and key features of our programme and discuss the factors that have contributed to its growing popularity. I will also address some of the challenges the programme is currently facing. If time permits, I will further discuss the advantages and disadvantages of applying machine learning methods in non-life insurance pricing.
Jostein Paulsen |
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13:35 – 14:25 |
Aktuarstudiet ved Universitetet i Bergen
Abstract: This section will talk about the Actuarial education offered by the Statistics and Data science group at the Department of Mathematics, University of Bergen. Our Actuarial education was established in 1990s and has existed as a separate specialization within the 2-year master program in Statistics. In 2014, to highlight the actuarial profession, a 5-year integrated master's program "Actuarial Data Analytics" was created and it is the only 5-year integrated program in Actuarial science and data analysis in Norway. From spring 2026, this program is renamed as "Integrert master i finans, forsikring og data science". This program provides candidates with broad knowledge in mathematics, statistics, finance/insurance and data science. The program also offers candidates Actuarial competence and follows the requirements for actuarial education of European Association of Actuaries.
Yushu Li |
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14:25 – 14:45 |
Pause |
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14:45 – 15:50 |
The Event Interlocking Mechanism in a Multi-Layer Abstract:
Norbert Haible |
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15:50 |
Avslutning |
Seminaret gir 7 poeng for internasjonalt godkjent aktuar.
Påmelding
Påmelding er bindende og gjøres på aktuarforeningens hjemmeside:
www.aktfor.no senest 15. mai 2026.
Ved spørsmål kontakt admin@aktfor.no
Det tas forbehold om endringer i programmet.
Stephan Marais
Stephan Marais is an actuary by training
(member of ASSA) but engineer at heart. He
has a diverse background in actuarial
consulting, product management, and software
development. His expertise includes writing
actuarial code modules and implementing
technology solutions to automate end-to-end
actuarial process calculations. Stephan currently
the Head of Research and Development at
Dynamo Analytics where he is tasked with
leveraging machine learning and AI to enhance
actuarial workflows. Notable career milestones
include designing and building non-life
reserving and reserve uncertainty calculation
engines for the software platform, Psicle.
Nils Voje Johansen
Nils Voje Johansen (1962) er universitetslektor ved Matematisk institutt, UiO. Han har bakgrunn som lektor i videregående skole og har blant annet ansvar for instituttets virksomhet mot videregående skole. I tillegg har han i en årrekke arbeidet med fag- og vitenskapshistorie i et norsk perspektiv, spesielt matematiske realfag i perioden 1750- og 1850tallet. Han var i 2001 med i arbeidsgruppen som utarbeidet forslaget om å opprette Abelprisen i matematikk.
Kostein Paulsen
Born 29. September 1955, Norway
Scientific Focus Areas: Actuarial mathematics and statistics. Risk theory. Control theory. Time series.
Education:
1983 Ph.D., University of Bergen (supervisor Dag Tjøstheim)
1980 M.Sc., University of Bergen
Positions:
2025-- Professor Emeritus, University of Copenhagen
2009-2025 Professor, University of Copenhagen
1995-2009 Professor, University of Bergen
1986-1995 Associate Professor, University of Bergen
1983-1986 Actuary, Vesta Insurance Company.
Part time positions:
2002-2018 Visiting Professor, University of Chicago (one quarter each year in most years)
1998-2022 External actuary, Norwegian Hull Club (marine insurance).
Yushu Li
Yushu Li is Associate professor in Statistics at Department of Mathematics, University of Bergen (UiB), Norway. She received her bachelor’s degree in economics with a focus on Statistics (direction in Actuarial science) from Renmin University of China in 2006 and earned her Ph.D. in Statistics with an emphasis on Econometrics from Linnaeus University in Sweden in 2011. Following her Ph.D., she worked as a researcher at Department of Economics at Lund University, Sweden, and later served as an Assistant Professor at the Department of Business and Management Science at the Norwegian School of Economics . Her research primarily focuses on time series econometrics, financial volatility forecasting, evaluation of forecasting methods, statistical machine learning, and Sparse Bayesian Learning. Yushu has several publications on the journals including "Expert Systems With Applications", "Statistics and computing", "Empirical Economics", "Journal of Forecasting", "Economic Modelling", "Financial Innovation". Yushu is member of "Den Norske Aktuarforening".
Norbert Haible
Norbert Haible graduated at the Technical University of Karlsruhe (Germany) and Université Joseph-Fourier, Grenoble (France). He has 25 years experience in pricing and structuring of reinsurance solutions. He has navigated diverse roles, including reinsurance underwriter and head of technical management & claims at KBC Group Re. He is qualified actuary DAV and currently serving as vice-chair of the ASTIN Board
Sted
Dronning Eufemias gate 4, 0191 Oslo, Norge